New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons Predictions 2023 Tips

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31 May 23

New South Wales Blues




Queensland Maroons

  • Title : New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons Predictions 2023 Tips
Date: 31 May 2023  |   Bet: 300  |   Odds: 1.68  |  
Author: Nills   |   Category: NFL  |   Units: 6/10


State of Origin Game 1 free rugby predictions for Wednesday's game Can QLD contain the NSW forward pack?


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Predictions for New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons

With both teams packing heavy duty live wires in their forward packs, we can expect the 2023 State of Origin to be one of the toughest and tightest we have seen in a while.

It is just there where we see the edge going to NSW in Game 1, with the likes of Payne Haas and his troops winning the battle through the middle and getting the support from Brian To'o and the outside backs to get out of their own end, giving their clinical attackers the territory they need to put pressure on Queensland.

Despite multiple raids by the Blues, the Queenslanders will not be able to sustain the barrage of attacks, therefore covering the measley 2.5 points as favourites while keeping the game total UNDER 36.5 points.

In Game 1, we predict Latrell to have a big performance and an even bigger series, and we expect him to score a try. Likewise, if anyone is going to change the game for Queensland it will be Cameron Munster. We can just see him crossing the line in the final 10 minutes to put pressure on NSW.

  • In five out of six games since 2017, the Game 1 total has fallen below 36.5 points.
  • During the past decade, only six of the last 30 games have been decided by two points or less
  • In their respective positions, Payne Hass (prop) and Brian To'o (wing) lead the NRL in runs and run metres.
  • In his last seven games for South Sydney, Latrell Mitchell has scored nine tries.
  • In the only Origin game played at Adelaide Oval, Cameron Munster scored a try.


Queensland won the 2022 series 2-1 after clinching games 1 and 3 in tightly contested matches, but lost game 2 44-12 to New South Wales in Perth.

In the overall series, Queensland leads 22-16 with two series drawn.

There have been three wins each for both teams in Game 1 over the past six years. However, Queensland has won three of the last four games.

In Game 1 of the 2020 series, QLD defeated NSW 18-14 at Adelaide Oval.

Form for the New South Wales Blues

Nine of the Blues' 17 players are from top four squads, which means they are in great form. The inclusion of former Panther Api Koroisau will no doubt make things easier for the halves as well.

Having lost game 1 in 2022, the Blues made a statement in game 2 by running in seven tries to two in a 44-12 demolition of the Maroons.

Unfortunately, their happiness was short-lived as they lost 22-12 after relinquishing a 12-10 halftime lead.

News about the New South Wales Blues

As Manly faced Canberra in round 12, Tom Trbojevic broke through his injury cloud with a three-try performance.

Jake Trbojevic will miss game 1 with a calf injury, opening the door for Tevita Pangai Jr to make his Origin debut.

With Api Koroisau impressing in his new role at the Tigers, Damien Cook has been replaced at dummy half, while coach Fittler has opted for the halves connection of Jarome Luai and Nathan Cleary, with 2022 Dally M winner Nicho Hynes on the bench.

After South Sydney forward Keaon Koloamatangi was ruled out with a syndesmosis injury, Tyson Frizell returns to the Blues team in his first Origin game since 2020.

Team list for the New South Wales Blues

Tedesco, James

Addo-Carr, Josh

Trbojevic, Tom

Mitchell, Latrell

To'o, Brian

Jarome Luai, No. 6

Nathan Cleary, 7

The eighth is Tevita Pangai Junior

The Api Koroisau

Haas, Payne

Tyson Frizell, 11

Hudson Young, 12

Isaah Yeo 13

Exchange of information

Junior Paulo, 14

Cameron Murray, 15

Liam Martin, 16

Nicho Hynes, 17

The reserves

Crichton, Stephen

Stefano Utoikamanu, 19

Blayke Brailey, 20

Form for Queensland Maroons

After winning game 3 of the 2022 series at Suncorp Stadium, the Queenslanders will be full of confidence heading into Origin 1.

The Maroons 2022 winning side will be represented by 14 players in the 19-man squad to take on the Blues in 2023, carrying with them a winning mentality and winning feeling.

Coach Billy Slater has chosen the most in-form player available at each position for the 2023 series, a tactic some have criticized, while others have called a masterclass.

News about the Queensland Maroons

Among the most talked-about selections for the QLDers has been the debut of Broncos fullback Reece Walsh, replacing 2022 game 3 Man of the Match Kalyn Ponga, who has been battling concussion issues this season.

As a result, Slater has brought back Thomas Flegler, David Fifita and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, who did not play in Queensland's winning series last year but have all represented the Maroons in the past.

List of Queensland Maroons players

The first is Reece Walsh

Cobbo, Selwyn

The Valentine Holmes story

The Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

Taulagi, Murray

Cameron Munster, 6

Cherry-Evans, Daly

Tom Flegler, 8

Hunt, Ben

Lindsay Collins, 10

Tom Gilbert, 11

David Fifita, 12

Patrick Carrigan, 13

Exchange of information

Grant, Harry

Tino Fa'asuamaleaui, 15

Reuben Cotter, 16

The Arrow of Jai

The reserves

Tom Dearden, 18

Christian Welch, 19

My Game 1 predictions

The NSW Blues forwards are expected to dominate the middle of the park, which will allow the backs to pressure the Queenslanders all night, ultimately wearing them down.

Latrell Mitchell are in great try scoring form, and are likely to be the game changers for their side by crossing over for crucial four-pointers.


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