Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Free Betting Tips

Details:

Free NRL Predictions for Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos

Look at this matchup and blink back into the history between Melbourne and Brisbane, and everything points to a Storm victory, but sometimes you have to put the blinkers on and play what is in front of you.

To play on the side of caution, I like the alternate handicap of a 4.5 point head start to the league leading Broncos based on 2023 results.

In addition, we might as well go against the trend and take the under 41.5 game point total. Brisbane's left side defence has been their weak point this season, so we may as well take the under.

The right-center position makes Reimis Smith a good value at 4.00odds .

• This season, Melbourne Storm are 7-2 against the UNDER in game points.
• Since 2019, the UNDER has hit 15 times when Melbourne has played on Thursday nights.
• Storm are 4-5 ATS in 2023, while Brisbane are 7-3.
• In 2023, Brisbane is 2-0 outside of Queensland.
• On the left side of their defensive line, Brisbane has conceded 57% of its tries.
• Since the Storm last beat the Broncos in Round 25 of 2016, Melbourne has won 12 straight against Brisbane.

Brisbane has lost their last six games at AAMI Park, and the OVER has hit in the last six meetings between Melbourne and Brisbane.

Form of the Melbourne Storm

In round 10, Melbourne lost 28-12 to the in-form Rabbitohs after winning four of their last six games.

Against the Rabbitohs, the Storm conceded 1635 run metres, 23% more than their season average of 1334 and 10% more than South's average for 2023.

The Melbourne Storm conceded five linebreaks in round 10, which is higher than their season average of 3.4.

News about the Melbourne Storm

Although Tui Kamikamica and Tariq Sims are lurking in the reserves, Craig Bellamy has named the same side that lost to the Rabbitohs in Magic Round.

List of Melbourne Storm players

The first is Nick Meaney

Warbrick, Will

Smith, Reimis

The fourth is Justin Olam

Coates, Xavier

Cameron Munster, 6

Hughes, Jahrome

Asofa-Solomona, Nelson

Grant, Harry

Welch, Christian

Trent Loiero, 11

Eliesa Katoa, 12

Josh King, 13

Exchangers

Bronson Garlick, 14

Aaron Pene, 15

Tom Eisenhuth, 16

Grant Anderson, 17

Reservists

Tyran Wishart, 18

Tariq Sims, 19

Tepai Moeroa (20.

Tui Kamikamica 21.

Jayden Nikorima, 22.

Form for the Brisbane Broncos

The Brisbane Broncos regained form at Magic Round, defeating the struggling Sea Eagles 32-6 to remain atop the NRL ladder.

From the previous week, the difference in performance was largely due to the return of arguably the best forward in the game, Payne Haas, and the return of five-eighth Ezra Mam.

Haas topped Brisbane's stats sheet with 21 runs, 217 run metres, and 18 hitups.

News about the Brisbane Broncos

In round 11, Brisbane names an unchanged side, but Kurt Capewell will be monitored after a head knock in round 10.

List of Brisbane Broncos players

The first is Reece Walsh

Arthars, Jesse

Staggs, Kotoni

Farnworth, Herbie

Selwyn Cobbo, no. 5

Ezra Mam, No. 6

Adam Reynolds, 7

Tom Flegler, 8

Billy Walters, 9

Haas, Payne

Kurt Capewell, 11

Jordan Riki, 12

Patrick Carrigan, 13

Exchange of information

Cory Paix, 14

Jensen, Corey

Kobe Hetherington, 16

Martin Taupau, 17

Reservists

Deine Mariner, 18

Keenan Palasia, 19

Madden, Jock

Brendan Piakura, 21

Xavier Willison, 22

My NRL Predictions

Brisbane's left side defence has struggled in 2023, so a Reimis Smith try seems likely and has a high return on the bet.

Value Bet

get 130% welcome Bonus code: eltorotips

Storms minus 8 points - 2.65odds

Bet Now