Guardiola's City have won their opening four Premier League games, looking ominously back to their 2023 vintage. Arsenal arrive unbeaten but were held to a draw by Villa last weekend. Haaland has 7 goals in 4 games. Arsenal's high defensive line — which conceded twice to Villa's counter-attack — could be exposed by City's off-the-ball movement. We back City to win in a game with over 2.5 goals.