Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB predictions

Details:

Marcus Stroman continues to be one among the toughest pitchers to predict. he's coming off his best outing of the year in Cincinnati as he pitched 8.0 innings and allowed just 1 hit and no runs while racking up 7 strikeouts. He lowered his ERA to 2.59 which may be a career best, but his xERA continues to be much higher because it has not dropped below 4.00 all season. It currently sits at 4.45 which is worrisome, because it means Stroman has been getting incredibly lucky and negative starts are in his near future. But Stroman continued to defy his xERA together with his excellent start in Cincinnati and although he could also be due for a few poor outings, it shouldn’t happen against Atlanta. The Braves’ offense had one among the foremost powerful lineups within the half of the season, but since losing Ronald Acuna Jr. they need struggled. they need scored two or less runs in five of their last seven games and rank 17th in on-base percentage since the all-star break.

It has been a superb rookie season for Kyle Muller. The southpaw enters this matchup with a 3.20 ERA and he has not allowed quite three runs during a start yet, but that's a touch deceiving. Muller struggles with control issues as he has thrown a minimum of 87 pitches in three of his four starts, yet he has not completed 6.0 innings this season. He features a bad habit of going deep into counts and giving tons of free passes as his walk rate has increased to 13.6% this season which is way below the typical for a pitcher . Besides Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .411 within the Braves last 15 games, the Atlanta offense has been far less reliable than New York’s in recent games. The Mets’ offense ranks 1st in on-base percentage and OPS since the all-star break and it seems Pete Alonso doesn’t know the house Run Derby is over. With New York’s offense hitting the simplest at the plate they need all season, back the Mets on the cash line in game one among the double-header.
Game Totals Pick

With the way both starters are pitching recently, the under may be a strong play. The under has hit altogether four of Muller’s starts this season and since this game is merely seven innings it lowers the prospect that these bullpens blow the sport . As for Stroman, the under is 6-1-1 when he takes the mound reception (not including his start when he was taken out after one inning thanks to injury) and low scoring affairs are a standard theme at Citi Field as 29 of the 45 games have stayed below the entire . The weather can vary dramatically at Citi Field counting on the day, but on Monday night the wind will play no factor. This game should stay low-scoring from the beginning to the top , so back the under 6.5 in ny .

Value Bet

Mets to win and under 6.5 total

3.20

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